Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey, Q1 2008
April 4th, 2008Today the Bank of England released the results of its Credit Conditions Survey for Q1 2008. This survey of bank and non-bank lenders, conducted between 25 February and 19 March 2008, provides a useful indication of current credit conditions and future trends in the supply (availability) and demand for credit.
Overall credit conditions in the UK tightened over the past three months, with the survey reporting that lenders reduced the availability of credit across their lending activities to households and businesses and expect to do so again in the coming three months.
The main findings of today’s survey release are as follows:
Secured lending to households and businesses
• Lenders reduced the availability of credit made to households and the business sector in the past three months of 2008 and expect to reduce credit further over the next three months. This is primarily a reflection of a reduced risk appetite and increased concerns about the macroeconomy (and the housing market in particular). Demand is expected to fall over the next three months.
• Lenders reported that spreads on secured lending had increased significantly across all types of borrowers during the past three months. Spreads were expected to widen further over the coming three months.
• Default rates and losses on loans in default increased over the past three months, and were expected to increase further over the coming three months.
Unsecured lending to households and small businesses
• Lenders reduced the availability of unsecured credit during the past three months of 2008, and expect to reduce availability over the next three months. This is primarily a reflection of tightening in credit scoring criteria applied to applications for non credit card unsecured borrowing. Demand is expected to fall over the next three months.
• Spreads on non-credit card unsecured lending had increased over the past three months and were expected to remain broadly unchanged over the coming three months.
• Lenders reported that default rates on credit card debt had fallen slightly over the past three months, though default rates on non-credit card unsecured loans were reported to have increased slightly.
Lending to corporates
• Lenders reported that they had reduced overall credit availability to corporates over the past three months of 2008 and report a fall in credit demand from medium sized corporates.
• Spreads on new lending increased over the past three months, coupled with higher commissions and fees. Over the next three months, lenders expected a further widening in spreads, and a further increase in fees.
• Default rates and losses on loans in default were expected to increase over the coming three months.
If anyone would like a copy of the Bank of England’s publication, please let me know.
Source: Finance and Leasing Association